Lead time curve with rainbow colours

Those who met me at conferences within the final two years (some shoppers, too) have in all probability seen these Forecasting Cards. They’re simple to acknowledge by their rainbow colors. I created them to start out conversations about lead time and to speak the associated concepts and findings (reminiscent of from this common publish: Inside a Lead Time Distribution).

These playing cards and the conversations we had whereas them motivated some individuals to start out measuring their time to market and to grasp the probabilistic nature of supply processes they’re making an attempt to handle of their skilled service enterprise.

I up to date the playing cards a number of occasions and added some explanations based mostly on the suggestions, however I haven’t made such modifications just lately. So, I’m going to share the present model of the Forecasting Cards as a straightforward obtain. This will seemingly be their final revision.


In the meantime, I’ve began engaged on the subsequent set of playing cards, which is able to talk some insights about threat taking and fat-tailed distributions.


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